Microclimate map · Paonia, Hotchkiss, Crawford, Cedaredge, Delta

Fruit Trees for Paonia, Hotchkiss, Crawford and the North Fork Valley, Colorado

On December 22, 1998, NOAA's Olathe station read −21°F while the Jay station on the slope above Hotchkiss read 0°F. Here's where the cold settles from Somerset to Delta, where bloom frost hits first, and what grows at your address.

In the freeze that began Friday, April 17, 2026, the temperature at Ela Family Farms near Hotchkiss fell to 21°F and stayed well below freezing until dawn. Warm spells in February and March had pushed the buds ahead, and the family lost its whole crop of peaches, apples, pears, plums and cherries on more than 30,000 trees. The North Fork peach crop, about 10 percent of Colorado's, was gone. Anyone planting fruit trees for Paonia, Hotchkiss, Crawford and the North Fork Valley knows bloom-night frost decides the year. This map shows where it settles first, and the winter night to plan for at every spot.

It covers the North Fork of the Gunnison from Somerset down past Paonia and Hotchkiss to Delta, the Surface Creek Valley under Grand Mesa (Cedaredge and Orchard City), the mesas around Crawford, and the Uncompahgre Valley up to Olathe, the heart of Delta County's fruit country on Colorado's Western Slope. Type your address in the box on the map to get the number for your own place, and the list of what we sell that has come through it.

How to read this map

The number on the map is the 30-year planning low, the winter night to plan for at that spot, and the same number our cold hardiness calculator uses. It leans to the safe side, and it isn't the record. The MFTC zone puts it in half zones. "Typical winter" is an average year's coldest night, the kind of number USDA zones are built on, which is why USDA zones read warmer than ours. The spring layer shows how many degrees warmer or colder a spot runs than Paonia, our reference town, on a still, clear night at bloom.

The middle of the growing ground plans for −16°F (MFTC 5a), and half of it falls between −18°F and −14°F. Paonia plans for −15°F (MFTC 5b), typical winter about −3°F. The warm end, −11°F and better, is the mesa edges and hillsides a few hundred feet above the floors: Crawford at −9°F (MFTC 6a), the slope above Hotchkiss at −9°F. The cold end is the Uncompahgre floor around Olathe, −22°F to −23°F (MFTC 4b), and a few high draws past Crawford. At bloom the spread runs from 3°F colder than Paonia on the Gunnison bottom to 14°F warmer on the best mesa edges.

Why the map looks the way it does

Grand Mesa, to the north, stands about 6,000 feet above the valleys, Mount Lamborn rises southeast of Paonia, and Landsend Peak marks the west end of the West Elks. The North Fork runs southwest from below McClure Pass through a valley that keeps widening past Somerset, Paonia and Hotchkiss, then joins the Gunnison where it leaves the Black Canyon. Minnesota Creek comes in at Paonia. Creeks come off Grand Mesa between the mesas, Surface Creek runs down through Cedaredge, and the Uncompahgre comes up past Olathe to meet the Gunnison at Delta, the lowest ground on the map. On a clear, calm night each floor makes its own cold as it loses heat to the sky, slope air slides down the draws, and it all steps down toward Delta. The West Elks AVA puts it simply: cold air drains down the valley.

Upstream, the narrow valley at Somerset and Bowie plans for −12°F to −13°F; there's little floor there and the cold keeps moving. Paonia, where the valley opens, plans for −15°F, Hotchkiss −16°F, the Gunnison bottom at Read and Saxton −19°F. The Uncompahgre floor is the coldest farm ground on the map, −22°F at Olathe. Most of a pool's cold is made in place, so a wide, flat floor can pool harder than a deeper valley that drains. NOAA station records back the order. The Olathe station runs a median 3°F colder on the year's coldest night than the Paonia station and 9°F colder than the Jay station on the slope above Hotchkiss. On December 22, 1998, Olathe read −21°F, Delta −18°F, Paonia −10°F and Jay 0°F.

The mesas are the other half. The North Fork and its creeks cut down through Mancos Shale and left gravel-capped mesas and terraces (as many as ten west of Hotchkiss) roughly 150 to 550 feet above the river, up in the thermal belt over the cold on the floor. Utah State says ground just 50 to 100 feet above a valley floor is less freeze prone. Within 3 miles of Hotchkiss the floor plans for −17°F and the benches −13°F; around Paonia it's −16°F and −12°F. The Jay station, on the slope roughly 870 feet above Hotchkiss, runs a median 5°F warmer than the Paonia station on the floor 6 miles away, and its record is the mildest on the map, −11°F. People here knew this early. The 1947 Reclamation report said fruit works in this valley because of air drainage, found good drainage only on certain tracts, and priced orchard land under the Fire Mountain Canal at $200 to $300 an acre against $70 to $100 for other good land.

The spring layer shows the pattern at full strength. Draws streak cold through bench ground: Eckert, in a drainage channel, reads 3°F warmer than Paonia at bloom, while Cory, on open bench nearby, reads 7°F warmer. A broad, flat mesa top makes its own frost and sheds it only where the ground starts to fall. Out on the flat at the hamlet of Rogers Mesa, 120 feet above the floor, the map reads 3°F warmer than Paonia; where the mesa slopes, 260 feet up, 8°F warmer. The Rogers Mesa station's median last spring 32°F comes a week later than the Paonia station's, though Paonia's sits on the valley floor.

None of this holds when arctic air pours in on a wind. There's no inversion then, and higher ground runs colder. February 2, 2011 looks like that kind of night: the Black Canyon of the Gunnison station at 8,151 feet read −24°F and the station above Cedaredge −13°F, while Paonia read −9°F. The spring layer is the still-night pattern only, so in a windy freeze the warm benches won't be warm. The rest matters less here. The towns are small (Delta and Paonia plan about 1°F warmer than the floor around them), and we found nothing showing Fruitgrowers, Crawford or Sweitzer reservoirs help the orchards near them. The air is dry, and dry air cools fast on a clear night.

Paonia, Minnesota Creek and the upper North Fork

Paonia sits at about 5,674 feet where Minnesota Creek meets the North Fork, on the valley floor and sloping gently toward the river. Paonia plans for −15°F (MFTC 5b), typical winter about −3°F. Within 3 miles the floor plans for −16°F, the benches −12°F, the warmest tenth of the ground −10°F. Coburn, on the floor southwest of town, plans for −16°F and reads 2°F colder at bloom. The Paonia station sits on that floor about 30 feet above the river; its coldest since 1995 was −14°F (January 15, 2013), and its median frost-free season runs May 3 to October 10, 161 days.

The gravel-capped mesas are the fruit ground. Stewart Mesa, 140 feet above the floor, plans for −14°F and reads 7°F warmer than Paonia at bloom. Bone Mesa, 190 feet up, −13°F and 7°F warmer. Pitkin Mesa, 260 feet up, −13°F and 11°F warmer. Lamborn Mesa, 420 feet up, −12°F and 14°F warmer, and Stucker Mesa, 510 feet up, −11°F and 14°F warmer. Climb past the belt and bloom falls back: McDonald Mesa (about 7,100 feet), flanked by the badlands locals call the Adobes, reads only 6°F warmer. The Stahl orchard on the west edge of town is known for sweet cherries. Put stone fruit like Contender peach (−30°F), Lapins sweet cherry (−35°F) and Harlayne apricot (−30°F) on the mesa edges, and apples and pears on the floor.

Up the valley at Somerset (−13°F) and Bowie (−12°F) there's little floor to pool on, so winters run milder than in town. Somerset reads 1°F colder than Paonia at bloom, though, while Lennox Mesa above Bowie reads 10°F warmer. If you're over McClure Pass in Carbondale, the Roaring Fork map covers you.

Hotchkiss, Rogers Mesa and the benches

Hotchkiss sits at about 5,322 feet on the north side of the North Fork, right on the floor. It plans for −16°F (MFTC 5a), typical winter about −4°F, and reads 1°F colder than Paonia at bloom. Within 3 miles the floor plans for −17°F, the benches −13°F, the warmest tenth −10°F. The mesas north of town step up: Hanson Mesa, 110 feet above the floor, −14°F and 4°F warmer at bloom; Barrow Mesa, 240 feet up, −12°F and 7°F warmer; Powell Mesa, 260 feet up, −11°F and 7°F warmer. Above them the Jay station's slope plans for −9°F (MFTC 6a), reads about 10°F warmer at bloom, and has the longest frost-free season of any station here, 168 days.

Rogers Mesa, 3 miles west on Highway 92, holds CSU's Western Colorado Research Center. The hamlet out on the flat plans for −17°F and reads 3°F warmer than Paonia at bloom; the sloping ground 260 feet above the floor plans for −14°F and reads 8°F warmer. Lazear plans for −16°F, and the Scenic Mesa slope south of it reads about 13°F warmer.

No bench here is too cold for peaches in winter (Blushingstar took −25°F at our place on January 13, 2024 without damage), but Ela's farm, at about 5,800 feet and roughly 500 feet above town, still hit 21°F in 2026. Stone fruit on the mesa edges, apples on the flats. Steve Ela grows the heirloom Colorado Orange apple (−35°F) on a small plot near Hotchkiss.

Crawford and the mesas south of the river

Crawford sits at about 6,560 feet among mesas and ranch valleys, with Crawford Reservoir about a mile south and Needle Rock, a volcanic neck, east of town. It was settled on cattle, hay and grain because it was thought too high for profitable fruit. The town itself sits on a hillside where cold drains past: −9°F (MFTC 6a), typical winter about 2°F, the mildest town on the map, and 12°F warmer than Paonia at bloom. Crawford Mesa plans for −11°F and reads 9°F warmer; Grand View Mesa, −11°F and 11°F warmer. But within 3 miles the floor plans for −18°F and the coldest tenth of the ground −25°F, and the high country is patchy: Fruitland Mesa runs from −9°F at its west end to −28°F at its southeast end, and a draw at Hawks Nest Ranch east of Needle Rock plans for −30°F (MFTC 3b). There's no long-record station at Crawford, so we have no frost dates for town. Clear Fork Cider keeps about 150 trees on a Crawford homestead, some about a century old. Up the Gunnison past the Black Canyon, the Gunnison and Crested Butte map takes over.

Cedaredge and the Surface Creek Valley

Cedaredge sits at about 6,240 feet under the south slope of Grand Mesa, on a bench 340 feet above the Surface Creek floor. It plans for −13°F (MFTC 5b), typical winter about −2°F, and reads 11°F warmer than Paonia at bloom. Within 3 miles the floor plans for −17°F and the benches −13°F. Colby and Brimstone Corner, northwest of town, plan for −13°F to −14°F and read 7°F to 8°F warmer. A 1920s USGS guidebook said Grand Mesa's south slope was protected from frost much as Palisade is.

The old Cedaredge station bottomed out at −24°F on January 13, 1963. The station east of town, 600 feet higher, has a 30-year number of −12°F and has already hit −13°F (February 2, 2011), and its season is shorter: 139 frost-free days, against 161 at the Paonia station. Cedaredge was hit hard in April 2026, and an October 2020 freeze is reported to have killed several million dollars of the Williams family's Surface Creek orchards.

Orchard City: Eckert, Cory and Austin

Eckert, Cory and Austin incorporated together as Orchard City in 1912, named for an orchard near the original town site. Orchard City plans for −16°F (MFTC 5a) and reads 5°F warmer than Paonia at bloom; within 3 miles the floor plans for −18°F, the benches −16°F. Cory, on bench 180 feet above the floor, plans for −15°F and reads 7°F warmer. Eckert sits in a draw: −16°F and only 3°F warmer. Austin, on the floor near the Gunnison, plans for −18°F and reads 3°F colder than Paonia. Smiths Mountain, southeast of Austin and 490 feet up, plans for −14°F and reads 14°F warmer, and Peach Valley, at the toe of the slope to the south, −19°F and 3°F colder. Fruitgrowers Reservoir in Hart's Basin, about 3 miles north of Austin, draws sandhill cranes, but nothing shows it warming nearby orchards. Stone fruit goes on Cory's bench and Smiths Mountain; apples, pears and plums on Austin's floor.

Delta, Olathe and the river bottoms

Delta is named for the delta of farm ground where the Uncompahgre meets the Gunnison, and at just under 5,000 feet it's where the cold from the North Fork, Surface Creek and the Uncompahgre ends up. Delta plans for −17°F (MFTC 5a), typical winter about −4°F, and reads even with Paonia at bloom. Within 3 miles the floor plans for −18°F, the benches −15°F. Garnet Mesa, the terrace east of town 190 feet above the floor, plans for −15°F (MFTC 5b) and reads 7°F warmer, the best ground close to town. Up the Gunnison bottom, Saunders, Read and Saxton plan for −18°F to −19°F and read 2°F to 3°F colder than Paonia. The Delta station west of town has the shortest season of any valley station, 136 days (May 15 to September 27), and one year in ten its last 32°F comes June 14. A station east of town at nearly the same height logs its last 32°F around May 3. No source explains why, so treat your own bottom ground as the colder case until you've watched it.

Olathe, home of Olathe Sweet Corn, sits at about 5,350 feet on the Uncompahgre. It's the coldest town on the map: −22°F (MFTC 4b), typical winter about −6°F, though it reads even with Paonia at bloom. Within 3 miles the floor plans for −23°F and the benches only −20°F. Hoovers Corner, on bench 110 feet up west of town, plans for −19°F; Chipeta, down the valley, −20°F. The Olathe station has the coldest 30-year number here (−24°F) and runs a median 7°F colder than the station above Cedaredge. On the Olathe floor, stick to ratings of −30°F and colder: Haralson (−45°F), Luscious pear (−40°F), Mount Royal plum (−40°F).

Spring frost and bloom in the North Fork

The April 2026 freeze began Friday, April 17, and fell to 28°F, then 21°F. Cedaredge, Hotchkiss and Paonia were all hit hard, and Ela put Delta County's damage at up to $15 million. Growers tried wind machines, an experimental mineral spray from CSU's Rogers Mesa station, propane heaters and burn piles. The wind machines did little; they can only mix down warmer air from an inversion, gaining a third to a half of its strength on a still night and nothing in a windy one. The vineyards came through because the vines were still dormant. It wasn't the first time. In 2015 a warm early March pushed bloom ahead, an April freeze took the apple blossoms, and Colorado's apple crop was projected about 80 percent down, with North Fork damage much worse than Palisade's. Palisade sits at the mouth of De Beque Canyon, where cold air draining out of the mountains keeps strong inversions from forming, and it saved 80 to 90 percent of its peaches in 2026. No source describes a canyon wind like that for the North Fork.

NOAA's 1991 to 2020 medians put the last 32°F in spring around May 2 at Jay, May 3 at Paonia, May 10 at Rogers Mesa, May 12 at Olathe, May 14 above Cedaredge and May 15 at Delta. The last 28°F, where open blossoms of nearly every tree fruit start dying, comes around April 12 at Jay, April 20 at Paonia and Rogers Mesa and May 2 at Delta. CSU puts 90 percent bud kill at 21°F at full bloom. You don't need every flower, though: about 15 percent of apple blossoms make a crop, sweet cherries can lose half their flowers and still crop fully, and haskap flowers take 19°F wide open.

So site first. The FAO's frost protection manual calls it the single most important method of frost protection. Put apricots, peaches and sweet cherries on the mesa edges and slopes that read 7°F to 14°F warmer than Paonia (Lamborn, Stucker, Pitkin, Barrow, Powell, Cory, Smiths Mountain, around Crawford). Put apples, pears and plums lower, and leave the coldest bottoms at Read, Saxton, Austin and North Delta to haskap, currants and grapes; our Red Lake and Montana Black Currants fruited well in 2026 after their flower buds saw about 22°F. CSU says south slopes and walls push buds out early and east exposures are usually the most moderate. Mow short and water a day or two before a forecast frost, and keep frost cloth handy (1.5 ounces per square yard gains about 8°F).

What the weather records say

NOAA station records here go back to 1893 at Delta. The coldest reading on file is the old Delta station's −36°F on January 7, 1913, when Paonia read −26°F. Delta hit −27°F in 1951 and again in 1971, and old Cedaredge's record is −24°F (January 13, 1963). The floors have been milder since the mid-1990s: the Olathe station's coldest is −21°F, 3°F short of its 30-year number of −24°F, and Delta's is −18°F, both on December 22, 1998. Our planning low is built from those recent winters, and the older records hold much colder nights, so leave margin on the floors. One odd reading: the Rogers Mesa station logged −25°F on January 7, 2017 (a year with too many missing days to count) when Olathe read −18°F; we can't tell if it was a real local pool or a bad reading.

Frost-free figures disagree by source: CSU's page gives Rogers Mesa 125 days, and NOAA's 1991 to 2020 medians give its station 150. The Town of Paonia's tree list uses USDA Zones 6a and 6b, built on an average winter. Ours plan for the bad one: MFTC 5b at Paonia and Cedaredge, 5a at Hotchkiss and Delta, 4b at Olathe, 6a at Crawford.

What you can grow here

Mesa edges, slopes and Crawford's hillsides: −14°F or warmer

This is stone fruit ground; bloom and season decide, not winter. Peaches: Contender (−30°F), Blushingstar (−25°F), Redstar (−25°F), plus Hardired nectarine (−25°F). Apricots: Harlayne (−30°F), Tomcot (−30°F). Sweet cherries: Lapins (−35°F), Rainier (−30°F; it likes dry air and cracks where it rains at ripening), Bing (−20°F). Plums: Italian (−35°F), Shiro (−30°F). D'Anjou pear (−30°F), late apples like Colorado Orange (−35°F) and Arkansas Black (−35°F), SnowCzar almond (−30°F) and Purvis Hardy English walnut (−30°F). On a south wall at Crawford, Chicago Hardy Fig (−10°F) is worth a try.

The valley floors from Paonia to Delta: −15°F to −19°F

Winter is easy for apples, pears, plums and tart cherries; bloom reads even with Paonia to 3°F colder, so stone fruit is a gamble. Apples: Honeycrisp (−45°F), Zestar!® (−40°F), Gravenstein (−40°F), Liberty (−30°F). Pears: Bartlett (−35°F), Seckel (−35°F), Harrow Sweet (−30°F). Plums: Stanley (−30°F), and Superior (−35°F) with Toka (−45°F) to pollenize it (the pollination maps show which pollenizer each needs). Tart cherries: Montmorency (−30°F), Evan's Bali (−45°F). Grapes: Marquette (−35°F), Concord (−30°F). For a peach on the floor, Siberian C (−35°F) is the hardiest we know of and ripens very late.

The Uncompahgre floor and the cold draws: −20°F and colder

Around Olathe and Chipeta, plan on −20°F to −23°F and pick from ratings of −30°F and colder: Haralson (−45°F), Spartan (−45°F) and Wealthy (−50°F) apples, Luscious (−40°F) and Ure (−40°F) pears, Mount Royal (−40°F) and Black Ice (−40°F) plums, Meteor tart cherry (−40°F), Kerr applecrab (−50°F). In the high draws at −28°F to −30°F, stay with −35°F and colder. Anywhere the bloom reading runs cold, plant Honeyberry (−50°F), Montana Black Currant (−50°F), Red Lake currant (−40°F), Invicta gooseberry (−40°F) and Boyne raspberry (−40°F).

Rootstocks, water and local problems

In CSU's 1998 sweet cherry rootstock trial on Rogers Mesa, Mazzard lost the most trees, mostly to late fall or early winter damage in the first year, while Mahaleb made some of the biggest trunks (a 1920 study found Mazzard roots dying at 12°F and Mahaleb taking 5°F). Timing matters as much as depth. An October 2020 freeze is reported to have killed about 30 percent of Colorado's fruit trees, and in Missoula an October 25, 2020 drop to −7°F at the airport killed almost all of our young Bing cherries because they hadn't gone dormant. Taper water from mid-August so trees harden off, and use drip; late-season shortages hit junior water rights here. CSU flags high-pH soils, iron chlorosis and bitter pit, codling moth is the big pest for organic apple growers, and hail comes through some summers.

Fruit history in the North Fork and Surface Creek

The first orchards around Hotchkiss and Paonia went in in 1882; the Duke brothers planted 500 acres of apples, peaches and pears, and the Hotchkiss Fruit Company shipped North Fork fruit to New York and Chicago. The railroad reached the North Fork in 1902, and after standard gauge reached Delta in 1906, Delta apples went as far as England. Surface Creek had 1,000-acre orchards and seven packing plants, with ice from Grand Mesa lakes packing the rail cars. By 1957 the Paonia Project grew mainly apples, peaches and sweet cherries, and in 2007 Delta County was estimated to grow about 70 percent of Colorado's apples. Today the valley calls itself the Farm-to-Table Capital of Colorado. Cedaredge holds AppleFest the first weekend of October, and Paonia has Cherry Days.

Questions people ask

What growing zone is Paonia, Colorado?

The Town of Paonia's tree list uses USDA Zones 6a and 6b, which are built on an average winter's coldest night (about −3°F in town on our map). We plan for the bad night: Paonia plans for −15°F (MFTC 5b), the mesas around town −11°F to −14°F, and Hotchkiss −16°F (MFTC 5a).

When is the last frost in Hotchkiss?

NOAA's 1991 to 2020 medians put the last 32°F around May 10 at the Rogers Mesa station west of town and May 2 at the Jay station on the slope above, and one year in ten as late as May 25 at Rogers Mesa. The last 28°F, where open blossoms start dying, comes around April 12 to April 20. The floor in town runs colder than the benches on a still spring night.

Can you grow peaches in Paonia?

Yes. Winter isn't the limit: Paonia plans for −15°F, and Contender (−30°F) and Blushingstar (−25°F) have come through far colder. Spring is the limit, as 2026 showed. Plant on the mesa edges that read 7°F to 14°F warmer than town at bloom (Stewart, Pitkin, Lamborn, Stucker) and expect some years with no crop.

Why did the North Fork peach crop fail in 2026?

Warm spells in February and March pushed buds far ahead, then the freeze that began April 17 fell to 28°F and then 21°F; Ela Family Farms near Hotchkiss hit 21°F at about 5,800 feet. CSU puts 90 percent bud kill at 21°F at full bloom. Wind machines did little, while Palisade's canyon setting helped its growers save 80 to 90 percent.

Is Crawford too high for fruit trees?

It was settled on cattle, hay and grain because it was thought too high, but the town's hillside plans for −9°F (MFTC 6a), the mildest of any town on the map, and reads 12°F warmer than Paonia at bloom. A Crawford homestead still has trees about a century old. The bottoms below town are the problem: −18°F on the floor and −25°F in the coldest tenth of the ground.

Warmer spots, colder spots

Here's the number to plan for at named places on the map, warmest first. Each one is the 1-in-30-year low for that spot: the cold hardiness calculator's number from the same weather stations, sharpened by our microclimate model for the ground right there. Zone is our MFTC zone, set by that one bad night, not by an average.

Runs warmer

    Runs colder

      How this map works

      Every number on this map is a 30-year planning low, the same number our cold hardiness calculator gives. It's built from NOAA station records, leans a little cold on purpose, and gets nudged a degree or two for the ground right around you. The spring frost layer runs our full terrain model, which follows cold air down the draws and into the bottoms. It's a planning number, not a promise: how long the cold lasts, wind, soil and late-winter warm spells matter too.

      The physics of cold air, how the number is built, every terrain weight and the limits of the model are all on one page: how our microclimate maps work.

      The weather stations behind it

      These are the long-record stations in and around this map, with each one's own numbers since the winter of 1995-96. The last column is this map's 30-year number right at the station, which won't match the station exactly: it's a blend of the stations around it, the way the calculator works everywhere.

      Station Elev (ft) Winters Coldest since 1995 Average winter low 1-in-30 low Map here

      Source: NOAA records through ACIS, winters 1995-96 through 2025-26. What the "carried forward," "gaps filled" and AWOS rows mean is explained in how our microclimate maps work.

      Take your spot to the calculator. Click your ground on the map, then open the cold hardiness calculator at that spot. It will show you every plant we grow that has come through that cold.

      Open the cold hardiness calculator
      Terrain: USGS 3D Elevation Program. Land cover: NLCD (MRLC). Station records: NOAA via ACIS. Roads and place names: OpenStreetMap contributors. Model and write-up: Montana Fruit Trees, Missoula, Montana.

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